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The Contrarian Investor Podcast Posts

Season 1, Episode 26: Healthcare, Russian Natural Gas and Other Ideas for Investing in 2020

Published December 18, 2019

With Lukasz Tomicki of LRT Capital

Lukasz Tomicki of LRT Capital Management joins the podcast to discuss his investing strategy and ideas for 2020.

Contents: The case for Russian natural gas companies (3:05) and healthcare stocks (5:28). What’s to like about UnitedHealth (9:24). Background on Tomicki (13:48). Handicapping the 2020 US presidential election (20:50). The outlook for growth in the US (23:01).

Austin, Tex.-based LRT Capital is a long-biased, concentrated equity fund started by Tomicki in 2012. For more on LRT Capital, visit the firm’s website.

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Season 1, Episode 25: Unpacking ‘The Finance Curse,’ With Nicholas Shaxson, Author

Published December 5, 2019

“A cuckoo in the nest that is crowding out other parts of the economy”

Nicholas Shaxson, author of The Finance Curse, joins the podcast to discuss his thesis, that the financial sector is at the root of many problems facing economies and society, and where to look for possible solutions.

Content

  • The paradox: Too much finance can make you poorer (1:47)
  • How did we get here? (3:11)
  • Angola as the genesis of the finance curse concept (7:58)
  • Rising inequality. Where might solutions lie? (14:11)
  • Debunking private equity (18:34)
  • Antitrust solutions may be the answer (27:06)
  • What sectors are most at risk? (33:19)

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Season 1, Episode 24: Investors’ Worsening Mood is a Bullish Indicator with Nick From Demonetized Blog

Published November 20, 2019

Counterintuitively, risk assets should benefit from deteriorating sentiments

The collective mood and risk appetite of investors may be turning more cautious, but this makes for a more optimistic outlook for risk assets. The author of the Demonetized Blog (and corresponding Twitter account) joins the podcast to discuss this concept and what it means for the economy and markets going forward.

Content:

  • Investor surveys as contrarian indicators (2:40) and the “basic principle” that broader conservative positioning makes for bullishness (5:13)
  • Nick’s “origin story” as an investor (13:36)
  • Timing is everything. How much longer does this bull market have to run? (17:45)
  • Interest rates should stay low indefinitely (20:37) and the economy is not facing an imminent recession (22:00)
  • Prospects of a new president in the U.S. (24:12)
  • What this all means for asset allocation (26:05) and why investors should keep wary of inflation (28:25)

Not intended as investment advice.

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