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Tag: bonds

Season 2, Episode 31: James Altucher and Where (Not) to Invest Ahead of the Election — And Beyond

A wide-ranging conversation with one of the more outspoken contrarians on Wall Street and Main Street.

James Altucher needs to introduction. For several decades he has been an outspoken contrarian on matters ranging from investing to politics, society, entrepreneurialism, and all points in between.

We planned to limit this conversation to investing. That didn’t happen. Instead Altucher spoke on a wide range of issues — including investing — and introduced some items that he hadn’t discussed before publicly.

If you do want to skip to the investing content, it starts at 20:26.

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Season 1, Episode 17: The Coming ‘Melt Up’ in Markets, With David Hunter of Contrarian Macro Advisors

The market cycle has one final upleg, which will be followed by a historic crash

David Hunter, Chief Macro Strategist at Contrarian Macro Advisors, discusses the current state of the economic cycle and why risk assets have a final upleg left before the onset of the bear market. 

Content:
The Federal Reserve is behind the curve of the economy (2:00), the coming bust (5:00), predictions for bond prices (8:15), the final “melt up” and why it will be “parabolic” (12:29), echoes of 1982 (16:50), the 2020 bear market (19:34) and recovery, which will bring the first inflationary cycle since the 1970s (21:21), favorite places to be in terms of investments (26:45), $10 oil (30:00)

Not intended as investment advice.

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Season 1, Episode 1: Markets Underestimate the Risk of Major Corrections

With Sunrise Capital’s Chris Stanton

Chris Stanton, partner and chief investment officer at Sunrise Capital Partners, sat down with host Nathaniel E. Baker to discuss risks facing markets and the economy.

On the surface, the investing environment looks rather benign, with solid employment and consumer data easing recession fears. But the 2019 recovery in risk assets is at an important juncture. As the market looks for a catalyst that could lead to a “melt-up”, pockets of risk are accumulating.

The chances of a significant liquidity event akin to the “taper tantrum” or even the 1987 crash are rising. Stanton tells listeners what to look for. The Russell 2000 Index may hold one clue…

03:03 – What are the Fed’s options yields on the 10-year go to 3%?

05:40 – The upcoming “pivot points” that could lead to big corrections.

09:10 – The sell-off in bonds and ineffectiveness of Fed policy.

11:05 – Could the market be underpricing a liquidity event? The S&P “looks an awful lot like a spread triple top.”

16:05 – Liquidity events, and the corresponding spikes in volatility, are becoming more frequent.

17:30 – Stanton discusses his background and Sunrise Capital’s approach to investing.

21:40 – “The physics of markets.” Risk is accumulating and the increasing likelihood of a selloff akin to what happened in the fourth quarter.

35:00 – The market continues to be Fed-dependent. A problem as it appears to be losing confidence with the current Fed chairman.

37:00 – The case for active management.

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