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The Contrarian Investor Podcast Posts

International Value Stocks Present Opportunity, Dividends Best Avoided: Meb Faber (Szn 7, Epsd 10)Podcast episode cover art featuring Meb Faber

International Value Stocks Present Opportunity, Dividends Best Avoided: Meb Faber (Szn 7, Epsd 10)

Published June 10, 2025

Meb Faber of Cambria Investments joins the podcast to discuss the state of markets and the economy, the need to diversify internationally, and why dividends are not a good thing.

This podcast episoode was recorded Monday, June 2 and was made available to premium subscribers exclusively the following day. More membership on premium subscriptions is available here.

Content Highlights

  • What are Meb Faber’s view of the economy and markets? (1:34);

  • His most contrarian take: non-US stocks are a bargain. The outperformance of US equities versus international peers is due for reversal (3:37);

  • International value stocks are a particularly promising area (9:56);

  • Artificial intelligence (16:29);

  • Background on the guest (28:18);

  • Another contrarian take: dividends are overrated (33:59);

  • Tariffs: no cause for concern (39:57).

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Tariff Dips Create Buying Opportunities (Szn 7, Epsd 9)podcast episode cover art feat Petra Bakosova

Tariff Dips Create Buying Opportunities (Szn 7, Epsd 9)

Published May 13, 2025

With Petra Bakosova, Hull Tactical

Petra Bakosova of Hull Tactical joins the podcast to discuss her views on the Federal Reserve, labor markets, the impact of tariffs, and what this all means for financial markets.

Content Highlights

  • The Fed last week expressed concerns about risks in the labor market. There is nothing in any of the data that bears this out yet. However, there are other ways that tariffs have had an effect (3:36);

  • Hull Tactical has been “close to 100% invested” and views this as a good time to be active allocating risk (6:14);

  • Background on the guest (10:28);

  • Philosophy behind Hull Tactical’s investment strategy (12:45);

  • The danger of ‘overfitting’: Data will confess to anything if you torture it long enough. How to guard against it (16:51);

  • Blackjack and how it inspired the strategy (21:31).

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Tariffs Have Changed ‘Plumbing’ of Global Finance (Szn 7, Epsd 8)Podcast episode cover art featuring Axel Merk

Tariffs Have Changed ‘Plumbing’ of Global Finance (Szn 7, Epsd 8)

Published May 6, 2025

With Axel Merk, Merk Investments

Axel Merk of Merk Investments rejoins the podcast to discuss his view that Trump’s tariffs have fundamentally unbalanced the global financial order. This has created real risks, but also opportunities…

Content Highlights

  • The ‘plumbing’ of the global financial system has been upended as a result of tariffs (1:35);
  • China will not dump all their US Treasury holdings overnight. But tariffs will impact future flows. A fragmentation away from US dollar-denominated assets is likely (6:50);
  • Are tariffs inflationary or deflationary? They’re a supply shock: stagflation is the result (10:42);
  • If global trade is impeded and ultimately curtailed, how does this not end badly for economic growth? It will require a mental change from the existing environment. Fortunately, history has ample examples of this transition… (16:19);
  • Europe and China may face trouble in this new world order. So will Turkey. “There will be more tension” (24:45);
  • The case for gold and gold miners (32:16);
  • Does the US enter recession this year? Economic numbers are going to be distorted, so it may not matter. But the spike in imports heading into tariffs will almost certainly create inventory build-up… (37:18).

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