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Tag: China

Season 2, Episode 1: The Next Market Meltdown is Coming

Sunrise Capital’s Chris Stanton on the What, When, and Where

Chris Stanton, chief investment officer at Sunrise Capital, rejoins the podcast to discuss his bearish views on the market at the start of 2020.

There are reasons to believe a market correction is overdue, Stanton says. Risk is everywhere: geopolitical, volatility, repo markets. A drop of 18% to 20% can be expected before March 31.

Highlights:

  • “Rest assured, we’re heading for a correction and I would argue it’s going to be terrifying when it comes” (5:43)
  • The “Phase 1” deal with China is a temporary measure that will be revoked if Donald Trump wins reelection in November (9:55)
  • A likely catalyst for a correction is in the repo market (11:36)
  • A “volatility-led sell off” is likely before the end of the first quarter (16:12)
  • Where’s inflation? (26:34)
  • It may not take an actual headline for investors to decide equities are overbought (31:01)
  • Background on Stanton’s firm, San Diego-based Sunrise Capital (38:03)
  • The “origin story”: Background on Stanton himself (53:03)
  • What should retail investors do, right now? (1:02:49)

Not intended as investment advice.

For more information on Sunrise Capital: www.sunrisecapital.com

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Season 1, Episode 14: Choosing Battles in Emerging Markets, With Pembroke’s Gregory Mariasch

Investment opportunities in China, Argentina, and Brazil

Gregory Mariasch, partner at Pembroke Emerging Markets, makes the case for his particular brand of long-short investing. Contrary to the prevailing opinion, there are opportunities in emerging markets that are less correlated to trade war issues between the US and China.

Stock markets in China, Brazil, Argentina, and Mexico are discussed in greater detail.

Content:
Not your grandfather’s emerging markets (2:40), China’s economy and the trade war (5:40), stocks to own (13:20), the bullish case for Argentina (14:30) and Brazil (19:30), reasons to be bearish on Mexico (24:50).

Not intended as investment advice. 

More information about Pembroke: https://www.pembroke-em.com

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Season 1, Episode 13: China and the Everything Bubble, With Kevin Smith of Crescat Capital

Kevin Smith of hedge fund firm Crescat Capital in Denver joins the podcast to discuss his views on China and other asset bubbles, which he considers ripe for implosion.

China heading into an economic downturn (2:00) and why its currency hasn’t faced any real devaluation, the situation in Hong Kong (3:50) and short HKD trade, the maturing economic expansion in the US (7:37), fiat currency debasement and bullish case for precious metals (11:35), background about Kevin (17:32).

Not intended as investment advice.

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