stocks – Page 50 – The Contrarian Investor Podcast

Season 2, Episode 1: The Next Market Meltdown is Coming

Published January 16, 2020

Sunrise Capital’s Chris Stanton on the What, When, and Where

Chris Stanton, chief investment officer at Sunrise Capital, rejoins the podcast to discuss his bearish views on the market at the start of 2020.

There are reasons to believe a market correction is overdue, Stanton says. Risk is everywhere: geopolitical, volatility, repo markets. A drop of 18% to 20% can be expected before March 31.

Highlights:

“Rest assured, we’re heading for a correction and I would argue it’s going to be terrifying when it comes” (5:43)
The “Phase 1” deal with China is a temporary measure that will be revoked if Donald Trump wins reelection in November (9:55)
A likely catalyst for a correction is in the repo market (11:36)
A “volatility-led sell off” is likely before the end of the first quarter (16:12)
Where’s inflation? (26:34)
It may not take an actual headline for investors to decide equities are overbought (31:01)
Background on Stanton’s firm, San Diego-based Sunrise Capital (38:03)
The “origin story”: Background on Stanton himself (53:03)
What should retail investors do, right now? (1:02:49)

Highlights From Our YouTube Channel

For more information on Sunrise Capital: www.sunrisecapital.com

Not intended as investment advice.

Season 1, Episode 26: Healthcare, Russian Natural Gas and Other Ideas for Investing in 2020

Published December 18, 2019

With Lukasz Tomicki of LRT Capital

Lukasz Tomicki of LRT Capital Management joins the podcast to discuss his investing strategy and ideas for 2020.

Contents: The case for Russian natural gas companies (3:05) and healthcare stocks (5:28). What’s to like about UnitedHealth (9:24). Background on Tomicki (13:48). Handicapping the 2020 US presidential election (20:50). The outlook for growth in the US (23:01).

Austin, Tex.-based LRT Capital is a long-biased, concentrated equity fund started by Tomicki in 2012. For more on LRT Capital, visit the firm’s website.

Season 1, Episode 24: Investors’ Worsening Mood is a Bullish Indicator with Nick From Demonetized Blog

Published November 20, 2019

Counterintuitively, risk assets should benefit from deteriorating sentiments

The collective mood and risk appetite of investors may be turning more cautious, but this makes for a more optimistic outlook for risk assets. The author of the Demonetized Blog (and corresponding Twitter account) joins the podcast to discuss this concept and what it means for the economy and markets going forward.

Content:

Investor surveys as contrarian indicators (2:40) and the “basic principle” that broader conservative positioning makes for bullishness (5:13)
Nick’s “origin story” as an investor (13:36)
Timing is everything. How much longer does this bull market have to run? (17:45)
Interest rates should stay low indefinitely (20:37) and the economy is not facing an imminent recession (22:00)
Prospects of a new president in the U.S. (24:12)
What this all means for asset allocation (26:05) and why investors should keep wary of inflation (28:25)