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Contrarian Calls Revisited: Tobias Carlisle’s Bearish COVID Outlook in March 2020

Published February 23, 2022

Aquirers Fund founder Tobias Carlisle said the market was underestimating the impact of COVID-19 and made a case for value investing and his preferred shorts in a March 2020 episode, recorded on Feb. 26.

Carlisle said he could see “the market get hammered again” later in the year and that unlike other public health scares, COVID-19 had an impact on supply chains. 

“I think it’s very likely that we see material weakness all year long due to coronavirus,” he said at the time.

MoreContrarian Calls Revisited: Tobias Carlisle’s Bearish COVID Outlook in March 2020
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Season 2, Episode 6: Defending Value, Shorting Selectively With Tobias Carlisle

Published March 3, 2020

Coronavirus will hurt earnings and interest rate may not help much

Tobias Carlisle, founder of Acquirers Fund LLC, is well known in value investing circles. He defends this method while also pointing to the short opportunities that have emerged recently.

Where the macro picture is concerned, the coronavirus is still front and center. Here Carlisle expects corporate earnings to be impacted and doesn’t anticipate central banks being able to help much. (This podcast was recorded before the Federal Reserve’s 50 basis point cut announcement on March 3).

Highlights:

  • The case for value investing (4:28)
  • Coronavirus and the impact on supply chains (7:36) and how the market will react this year (8:47)
  • The fund’s short position in Tesla (12:58)
  • Favorite contrarian ideas right now, including short Etsy (21:25)
  • Exposure to energy (27:15)

Highlights From Our YouTube Channel

More information on the guest:

Not intended as investment advice.

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