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The Contrarian Investor Podcast Posts

Season 1, Episode 16: No Ill Effects from Yield Curve Inversion for US Economy

Published August 19, 2019

The 2-year/10-year yield curve inversion is a bad sign for the global economy, but less so for the U.S., says Barry Knapp

Barry Knapp of Ironsides Macroeconomics joins the podcast to discuss the 2-year/10-year yield curve inversion. The gauge is viewed as a harbinger of recession and while global trade has clearly slowed, the U.S. economy should not necessarily see any ill effects in the immediate future, says Knapp.

Content:

The 3-month/10-year yield curve versus the 2-year/10-year (2:52), for historical precedence see Japan in the early 2000s (7:50), recession in global trade but not in the U.S. (8:42), positives for the U.S. economy (13:00).

For more information on our guest: https://ironsidesmacro.substack.com/

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Season 1, Episode 15: Emotional Investing With Denise K Shull

Published August 13, 2019

Identifying and managing emotional triggers can be vital to successful money management

Denise K Shull joins the podcast to argue against the platitude that emotions have no place in investing. Identifying and managing emotions does not only play an integral role in investing, but can in fact hold one of the keys to succeeding at all levels of money management — and elsewhere.

Denise was one of the key inspirations for the Wendy Rhoades character on Billions, the Showtime program that just completed its fourth season.

Content: The place of emotions in investing (0:20), examples of red flags (2:48), structuring a dataset of emotional reactions (6:35), gauging collective emotions in the market (10:00), Billions discussion (15:00). 

More information about Denise and The ReThink Group: https://therethinkgroup.net/

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Season 1, Episode 14: Choosing Battles in Emerging Markets, With Pembroke’s Gregory Mariasch

Published July 31, 2019

Investment opportunities in China, Argentina, and Brazil

Gregory Mariasch, partner at Pembroke Emerging Markets, makes the case for his particular brand of long-short investing. Contrary to the prevailing opinion, there are opportunities in emerging markets that are less correlated to trade war issues between the US and China.

Stock markets in China, Brazil, Argentina, and Mexico are discussed in greater detail.

Content:
Not your grandfather’s emerging markets (2:40), China’s economy and the trade war (5:40), stocks to own (13:20), the bullish case for Argentina (14:30) and Brazil (19:30), reasons to be bearish on Mexico (24:50).

Not intended as investment advice. 

More information about Pembroke: https://www.pembroke-em.com

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