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Season 2, Episode 23: The COVID Disconnect And The Coming ‘Melt Up’ In Markets

Published July 28, 2020

With Enrique Abeyta, Empire Financial Research

The evolution of media has led to a “disconnect” between the reality of coronavirus and public perception of the pandemic, according to Enrique Abeyta of Empire Financial Research.

“We are on the precipice of COVID almost being over, or functionally as a major impact on society, mortality, etc.,” says Abeyta. This, along with unprecedented liquidity injections by the Federal Reserve, will lead to a melt-up in global financial markets.

Highlights:

  • The disconnect in popular political and economic analysis and the actual situation with COVID in the U.S. (4:38);
  • Look at the numbers in aggregate; they are clearly declining (8:52);
  • The war on COVID is almost over and the coronavirus could effectively be over “in six weeks” (12:52);
  • What does all this mean for investors? Look at gyms and movie theaters (16:07);
  • A simple options strategy to play the coming melt-up that looks a lot like 1999 (18:07);
  • Three contrarian views and why the coming melt-up will be the best investing and trading environment in a generation (24:48);
  • Background on the guest (27:33);
  • How do you get your ideas? (39:28);
  • The “V-word” and why it doesn’t matter and doesn’t work (41:10);
  • The case for Match.com (42:48);
  • “Shorting sucks” (45:04);
  • Asset management is a religion (49:21);
  • Short discussion of risks (51:12).

More Information on the Guest

Not intended as investment advice.

Highlights From Our YouTube Channel

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Season 2, Episode 22: Time to Build a Position in Semiconductor Manufacturers?

Published July 14, 2020

With Siddharth Singhai, Ironhold Capital

Siddharth Singhai of Ironhold Capital joins the podcast to discuss his views of semiconductor manufacturers and auto parts suppliers. He also shares his bullish views on industry sectors in his native India.

Content Segments:

  • Singhai’s look at the macro situation with COVID (3:27);
  • The cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry (5:59);
  • Long-term prospects are “fantastic,” and the macroeconomic environment should allow for the opportunity to build positions (8:06);
  • Electrical cars will provide a tailwind to auto manufacturers (10:40);
  • Background on the guest (13:52);
  • The most profitable industry in India (17:19);
  • Favorite ideas in semiconductor suppliers (27:04);
  • Favorite ideas in automotive suppliers (32:14).

More Information on the Guest:

  • Ironhold Capital is a value-based hedge fund in New York focused on leveraging both the Indian and U.S. markets. Its priority is to preserve capital, which is accomplished by buying high quality businesses with no leverage for cheap, followed by layers of risk management.
  • Website: IronholdCapital.com
  • YouTube Channel: Leaders in Business and Investing
  • Podcast: via Spotify and Apple Podcasts

Not intended as investment advice.

Highlights From Our YouTube Channel

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Buy Your Tickets to Contrarian Investor Virtual Conference No. 3! Special Discount for Listeners

Published July 12, 2020

This podcast, in partnership with ValueWalk.com and Breakout Point, will host the third Contrarian Investor Virtual Conference on Tuesday, Aug. 11 at 9 a.m. EDT.

The event will last about two hours and feature exclusive stock picks from contrarian investors. It follows on the success of the first two events, which moved prices in a number of stocks. Read more about that here and here.

How it Works

Panelists will present one (1) fresh stock pick each. These ideas must be contrarian in nature to qualify. Presenters get up to 20 minutes to introduce their idea, including slide decks if necessary. They are then asked to talk through some details by Nathaniel Baker, host of the podcast. Finally, audience members can ask questions through the webinar’s interface. Presentation materials, video recording of the event and contact information will be made available to attendees.

Featuring the following presenters:

Order Tickets

Individual tickets can be purchased via eventbrite here.

Starting with this event a limited premium ticket option is available. This adds two monthly calls where participants can discuss the ideas from the conference as well as broader market activity in a more intimate setting with the three organizers. During these calls, participants will also receive insights and the latest trends on hedge funds and short selling from Breakout Point and ValueWalk research. The principals (Nathaniel, Ivan, Jacob) will be able to answer other questions relating to their work.

There is a special discount for listeners of this podcast: Add the promotional code “contrarianpod” (no “quote marks”) at checkout to receive an extra 10% off.

Ten percent (10%) of proceeds from this event will once again be donated to the CDC Foundation to help the emergency response to the coronavirus.

More About These Events

The organizers feel they have established a practical model of investing conferences for the COVID age. The key is to have the highest quality investment managers, keep the sessions brief, and focus on actionable ideas that have not been disseminated before. The performance of stock picks from the conferences bear this out: Ideas presented at the June 3 event returned 5.7% cumulatively through June 30, compared to -0.9% for the S&P 500 over the same period.

The keynote speaker’s idea, a short call on Hebron Technology Co. Ltd. (NASDAQ: HEBT), was even more profitable. The company’s shares dropped more than 23% after the presentation and at the time of this writing remain more than 30% below the all-time high set on the eve of the last event.

Our YouTube channel has a playlist dedicated to the last event, posted below, where you can watch these presentations for yourself.

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