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Stocks, Bonds to Rally in Q4: David Hunter (Szn 5, Episode 25)David Hunter Szn 5 Episode 25 cover iamge

Stocks, Bonds to Rally in Q4: David Hunter (Szn 5, Episode 25)

Published October 16, 2023

A short actionable highlights reel from this podcast was released to premium subscribers last Thursday, Oct. 12 — the same day it was recorded. The full episode and transcript were made available to premium subscribers the following day. Become a premium subscriber by signing up on our Substack or Supercast.

David Hunter of Contrarian Macro Advisors rejoins the podcast to discuss his views on the economy, Fed, stocks, and bonds.

Not investment advice.

Content Highlights

  • Views on the bond market (1:31);
  • The Federal Reserve will likely pause again at its next meeting, on Nov. 1 (6:41);
  • Views on stocks (11:30);
  • Once consensus emerges that the Fed is ‘done’ it will remove a major wall of worry and headwind the magnitude of which few are anticipating… (16:14);
  • Targets for S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Industrials, 10-year yields… (21:21);
  • How the ‘bust’ scenario will play out (27:02),

To contact David Hunter and find out about subscribing to his newsletter, you need to send him a direct message on Twitter. His handle is @DaveHContrarian. The host will not forward your messages.

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Contrarian Investing Primer With Phil Pecsok, Anacapa Advisors (Szn 5, Epsd 24)Podcast episode cover art: Phil Pecsok

Contrarian Investing Primer With Phil Pecsok, Anacapa Advisors (Szn 5, Epsd 24)

Published September 20, 2023

Phil Pecsok, founder of Anacapa Advisors, joins the podcast to supply a primer on contrarian investing: What it is, what catalysts to look for, and some valuable lessons from his 30-year career on Wall Street.

Content Highlights

  • The guest provides his views of contrarian investing and how he uses it (1:27);
  • Examples of blaring contrarian signals from past cycles (9:00);
  • The Fed is likely to stay hawkish (13:14);
  • The ‘Rule of 3’ in contrarian investing as illustrated in a story from early in the guest’s career (16:37);
  • His views on cryptos (24:13);
  • Background on the guest (30:01);
  • Sports betting is an efficient way to lose money, unless you’re running the book. But sometimes there are sometimes contrarian opportunities (37:46);
  • What keeps the guest up at night? Nothing in particular, though stocks are probably overbought even after the recent sell-off (45:17).

For more on the guest and his firm, visit the website AnacapaAdvisors.com.

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Some Disparate ‘Best Ideas’ for the Rest of 2023: Brooker Belcourt (Szn 5, Epsd 21)Cover art featuring Brooker Belcourt

Some Disparate ‘Best Ideas’ for the Rest of 2023: Brooker Belcourt (Szn 5, Epsd 21)

Published August 23, 2023

This episode was recorded on Aug. 15 and released to premium subscribers that same day. Become a premium subscriber here.

Brooker Belcourt, founder of Covey.io, rejoins the podcast to discuss the three-pronged consensus that the investment platform’s best analysts are picking up right now and the 20 names that have emerged…

(Not investment advice).

Content Highlights

  • What are the best Covey analysts picking up right now? (1:37)
  • The platform’s 20 best positions are split into four buckets: growth winners like Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA), healthcare (three names including biopharma), ‘high-quality’ names like Autozone (AZO) and Disney (DIS), and volatility expressed through the levered ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY) (4:55);
  • What to make of the long volatility bet? (9:40);
  • Equally interesting is the type of exposure that is absent from the best 20: no crypto, no retail stocks, nothing international… (16:04);

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