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Finding Contrarian Investors Among US Presidents Past and Present (Szn 6, Epsd 16)

Published September 25, 2024

Megan Gorman joins the podcast to discuss her book ‘All the Presidents’ Money; How the Men Who Governed America Governed Their Money,’ in an effort to locate the contrarian investors. There are several, led by Gerald Ford. The guest also discusses the investments of year’s presidential and vice presidential candidates.

Content Highlights

  • The most contrarian investor among US presidents? Gerald Ford, the man who pioneered sitting on corporate boards and the presidential speaker circuit (1:24);
  • Perhaps unsurprisingly US presidents were quite conservative with their investments, Ford included… (6:37);
  • Many presidential investments were also contrarian by avoiding (individual) public equities (11:04);
  • Franklin D. Roosevelt was one of several presidents who entered the White House as wealthy individuals — and blew some of it by failing to perform basic due diligence (15:51);
  • Another oft-overlooked president, Calvin Coolidge, supplies a classic example of mis-timing the market… (21:11);
  • What we know about the investments of this year’s candidates for president and vice president (25:52);
  • Another very unsuccessful investor: Ulysses S. Grant. One of the most successful: George Washington (37:14);
  • Presidents probably don’t need to own individual stocks. Vice President Kamala Harris exemplifies this (47:18)

More Information on the Guest

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Fed’s Next Move, Trump 2.0, Opportunities in AI, Argentina (Szn 6, Epsd 15)Podcast episode cover art featuring James Fishback

Fed’s Next Move, Trump 2.0, Opportunities in AI, Argentina (Szn 6, Epsd 15)

Published September 10, 2024

With James Fishback, Azorio Partners

James Fishback, founder of Azoria Partners, joins the podcast to discuss the Fed’s shift in monetary policy, opportunities afforded by another Trump administration, why AI hype is real, and a host of other issues.

James Fishback, founder of Azoria Partners, joins the podcast to discuss the Fed’s shift in monetary policy, opportunities afforded by another Trump administration, why AI hype is real, and a host of other issues.

This podcast was recorded on Sept. 4 and was being made available to premium subscribers that same day. More information about premium subscriptions is available here.

NB: The guest is outspoken on certain political beliefs discussed here. These views are not necessarily shared by the host or the Contrarian Investor Podcast more generally.

Content Highlights

  • The Federal Reserve is expect to cut 200 basis points off of interest rates when all is said and done. The reality should fall well short of that measure… (1:37);
  • The US is economy growing in aggregate. Pain points are felt among lower socio-economic classes (4:44);
  • The major change will not come from a major shift in monetary policy but what happens fiscally, with the November election (9:16);
  • How to trade a Republican sweep? There’s an acronym: T-R-U-M-P (10:54);
  • Many companies have taken advantage of cheap labor supplied by illegal immigration. Their stocks will suffer once this is rolled back… (15:31);
  • AI is real. Productivity gains will be massive (17:44);
  • Crypto discussion. The best opportunity for bulls may to bet on lower volatility for Bitcoin… (22:47);
  • Background on the guest (28:33);
  • Azoria’s first ETF will be called the Meritocracy Fund. The strategy (33:38);
  • Another opportunity: Argentina (43:18)

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Bonds Poised for More Upside. Tech Stocks Too: Chad OlivierCover art feat Chad Olivier

Bonds Poised for More Upside. Tech Stocks Too: Chad Olivier

Published August 6, 2024

Chad Olivier of Baton Rouge, La.-based The Olivier Group joins the podcast to discuss his view of markets and why he is bullish about bonds and technology stocks.

This podcast episode was recorded July 30, 2024 and was made available to premium subscribers the following day — without ads or announcements. More information on premium subscriptions is available here.

Content Highlights

  • The view of the bond market has changed with the Fed (1:18)
  • The Olivier Group started adding bond exposure through ETFs in the first quarter and expects to add to it… (3:18);
  • The 10-year yield should drop to the 3% range “by this time next year” (4:43);
  • Small caps have recovered lately but the guest is less bullish there (9:31);
  • Technology stocks are much better positioned than in previous cycles (10:56);
  • Municipal bonds may also present an opportunity… (15:41);
  • Background on the guest (20:05);
  • Oil markets could present another opportunity, especially large cap, dividend-paying companies (23:58);
  • The political outlook and its impact on markets (25:51).

For more information on the guest visit the website OlivierGroup.com.

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