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Tag: inflation

Diamonds as an Asset Class: Concepts, Contrarian, Catalysts (Szn 5, Ep 22)cover art podcast Cormac Kinney

Diamonds as an Asset Class: Concepts, Contrarian, Catalysts (Szn 5, Ep 22)

Published August 30, 2023

With Cormac Kinney, Diamond Standard

Cormac Kinney, founder and CEO of Diamond Standard, joins the podcast to discuss the concept of diamonds as an asset class: why they haven’t become an investable commodity like other precious metals, how that may be changing, and what investors can expect in terms of correlation to other assets and alpha.

Content Highlights

  • Why haven’t diamonds become an investable asset class like precious metals or other commodities? (1:11);
  • Some of the economics behind diamond production and why supply is dropping dramatically (4:45);
  • How Diamond Standard is turning diamonds into a fungible commodity (this is where the bars in the cover photo comes in) (7:55);
  • What are diamonds used for practically, other than jewelry? (11:06);
  • Diamonds’ correlation to other asset classes over time (15:33);
  • Diamond futures are coming. That will introduce much-needed liquidity (21:45);
  • Background on the guest (29:30);

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The Economy’s Soft-Landing Will Be Short-Lived: Peter Kraus, Aperture Investors (Szn 5, Ep 20)Contrarian Investor Podcast Season 5 Episode 20 cover art

The Economy’s Soft-Landing Will Be Short-Lived: Peter Kraus, Aperture Investors (Szn 5, Ep 20)

Published August 11, 2023

This podcast episode was released to premium subscribers the same day it was recorded. Become a premium subscriber by signing up on our Substack or Supercast.

Peter Kraus, founder and CEO of Aperture Investors, joins the podcast to discuss his views on the economy, why he expects the ‘soft landing’ to occur, but why it will quickly give way to renewed concerns.

Content Highlights

  • An economic soft landing is likely, but will be transitional (1:38);
  • The Fed is unlikely to ‘break more stuff’ as this spring’s banking crisis was a short-term liquidity crisis that has since been resolved. But refinancing will be a problem (4:12);
  • Inflation will be more persistent and ‘sticky’ than markets are pricing in right now. This doesn’t leave bonds in a very good position (7:20);
  • When it comes to stocks, expect volatility until late autumn at which point higher interest rates will start to bite (16:17);
  • The consumer, and consumer stocks, will lead the rebound starting as early as December (19:33);
  • Background on the guest (26:06);
  • China’s driver of commodity prices may be over (35:42).

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Contrarian Wealth-Generation Concepts (Szn 5, Ep. 18)

Published July 20, 2023

With Stephanie Walter, Erbe Wealth

Stephanie Walter of Erbe Wealth joins the podcast to discuss some of the trade secrets of ultra-wealthy investors. Listeners may be shocked to hear about their very small allocation to public equities…

Content Highlights

  • A unique way to generate tax-free income through so-called premium financing insurance (1:51);
  • The security works as a life insurance policy with a premium paid by a bank (5:45);
  • These securities are illiquid, with a lock-up of 10 to 15 years, but the coupon pays double-digit percent — tax free (7:34);
  • Cap rates are starting to rise, creating opportunities in commercial real estate. One example is retail in Wyoming (14:23);
  • Office space is a different animal however. Too much risk, not enough reward (18:50);
  • Background on the guest (22:27);
  • Some of the ways ultra-wealthy allocate funds (very little to public equities), and the mindsets behind them (26:06);
  • What about cryptos? (33:48);
  • There are reasons to be concerned about the economy. Taxes could be a wild card here. Also interest rates (34:48).

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