Press "Enter" to skip to content

Tag: economy

Szn 4, Ep 6: The ‘Bad Times Are Already Here,’ With Acquirers Funds’ Tobias Carlisle

Published March 2, 2022

Tobias Carlisle of Acquirers Funds rejoins the podcast to discuss the stock market’s latest dramatic reversal, this time over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and why investors may be a bit too bullish at present…

Content Highlights

  • How to take the huge reversal last week with Russia-Ukraine? (3:11)
  • Every war starts with “the boys will be home by Christmas,” but most tend to drag on longer than anticipated. Sometimes a lot longer… (5:13);
  • Growth stocks have been in correction territory for some time. Are they in a bear market? Probably… (8:52);
  • The interest rate cycle has not started tightening but inflation has the Fed caught between a rock and a hard place (15:53);
  • Energy and energy stocks are still cheap. Then there are defense contractors. Lockheed Martin (LMT) has benefited from Russia-Ukraine and Carlisle is a holder… (21:25);
  • Facebook aka Meta (FB) is also cheap (23:20);
  • Non-fungible tokens, or NFTs: Dead as Disco (30:12);
  • The aim of investing is to survive the bad times and they are “probably here” (37:18).

More From the Guest

MoreSzn 4, Ep 6: The ‘Bad Times Are Already Here,’ With Acquirers Funds’ Tobias Carlisle
Comments closed

Contrarian Calls Revisited: Tobias Carlisle’s Bearish COVID Outlook in March 2020

Published February 23, 2022

Aquirers Fund founder Tobias Carlisle said the market was underestimating the impact of COVID-19 and made a case for value investing and his preferred shorts in a March 2020 episode, recorded on Feb. 26.

Carlisle said he could see “the market get hammered again” later in the year and that unlike other public health scares, COVID-19 had an impact on supply chains. 

“I think it’s very likely that we see material weakness all year long due to coronavirus,” he said at the time.

MoreContrarian Calls Revisited: Tobias Carlisle’s Bearish COVID Outlook in March 2020
Leave a Comment

Szn 4, Ep. 2: The Nascent Sino-U.S. Financial Cold War, with James Fok

Published January 18, 2022

James Fok joins the podcast to discuss his book ‘Financial Cold War: A View of Sino-US Relations from the Financial Markets’. In Fok’s view, the fates of China and the U.S. are highly intertwined, and neither country’s leaders want the conflict to escalate — but that could easily change.

Content Highlights

  • How the financial cold war is defined, some of the ways it is already impacting society and economics, and the risks of greater conflicts (3:06);
  • Is military conflict between the U.S. and China inevitable? (4:49);
  • The fates of the two countries are highly intertwined but the U.S. dollar and global monetary system have exacerbated imbalances (7:46);
  • Why the belief that the USD’s global role is good for the U.S. is a fallacy (11:02);
  • The world needs to become less USD-denominated if the financial Cold War is going to be resolved. There is precedence for this (18:00);
  • Background on the guest (30:00);
  • The state of China’s economy and where it’s headed (33:44);
  • China’s economic problems are clear for all to see, but the social implications are probably being significantly underestimated (36:49).
MoreSzn 4, Ep. 2: The Nascent Sino-U.S. Financial Cold War, with James Fok
Comments closed