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Tag: OG contrarians

Season 2, Episode 31: James Altucher and Where (Not) to Invest Ahead of the Election — And Beyond

A wide-ranging conversation with one of the more outspoken contrarians on Wall Street and Main Street.

James Altucher needs to introduction. For several decades he has been an outspoken contrarian on matters ranging from investing to politics, society, entrepreneurialism, and all points in between.

We planned to limit this conversation to investing. That didn’t happen. Instead Altucher spoke on a wide range of issues — including investing — and introduced some items that he hadn’t discussed before publicly.

If you do want to skip to the investing content, it starts at 20:26.

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Season 2, Episode 30: The Real ‘Melt-Up Is Still Ahead of Us’

September was a “fake out sell off,” says David Hunter.

David Hunter of Contrarian Macro Advisors rejoins the podcast to update listeners on his vision of a “parabolic melt-up” in risk assets that will presage the next market crash.

What we’ve seen since late March was not the real melt-up, Hunter says. Most of the gains are still ahead, in fact the coming months should see the final (and most dramatic) period of the rally. Then things get ugly.

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Season 2, Episode 18: The Methods of a Short Activist Hedge Fund

With Gabriel Grego, Quintessential Capital Management

Gabriel Grego of Quintessential Capital joins the podcast to discuss his short activist strategy.

Grego finds three or four “high conviction” ideas to trade a year. His process is exhaustive but straightforward, though few managers have the stomach to replicate it. The reasons for this are discussed in the second half of the podcast.

Content:

  • How it all starts. Finding the right target is crucial. Grego’s focus on “extreme corporate catastrophic situations” (1:39);
  • Some of the typical “red flags” to look for (3:43);
  • Trendy industries are often clusters for fraudulent behavior. COVID-19 is the most recent example (6:01);
  • Narrowing the target list and creating a thesis (10:37);
  • The final step: “boots on the ground” research (16:46);
  • Background on the guest (21:57);
  • Activist shorting is “scary stuff” (25:38);
  • More terrifying than being a paratrooper? (27:29);
  • Background on QCM’s fund and current exposure (30:28);
  • How QCM has dealt with the events of 2020, including a rare (and successful) attempt to time markets in March (34:05);
  • Chinese companies traded in the U.S. look “very very interesting,” though Chinese fraud is “a different beast” (42:14).

More Information on the Guest:

Not intended as investment advice.

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