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The Contrarian Investor Podcast Posts

Season 2, Episode 20: The Case for Investing in Sports Teams, With Jonathan Boyar

Jonathan Boyar, principal at Boyar Value Group, joins the podcast to discuss the merits of investing in the public equity of professional sports teams.

Boyar is specifically bullish on the Liberty Braves Group (NASDAQ: BATRA, BATRK), a tracking stock that consists of the Atlanta Braves Major League Baseball team and real estate development. 

Content Segments:

  • Sports teams as investments and two that have the guest’s attention at present (3:34);
  • Liberty Braves discussion (5:50);
  • Why now? “You’re at a point of maximum pessimism,” with MLB specifically (8:24);
  • The opportunity brought by sports gambling (14:06);
  • Background on the guest (16:38);
  • The Boyar Value Group’s investing style (19:15) and recent purchase of Twitter (20:50);
  • The makeup of the firm’s portfolio and how it deviates from the S&P 500 (24:22);
  • The opportunity with Hanesbrands (26:40).

For more information on the guest:

Not intended as investment advice.

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Season 2, Episode 19: Picking Spots in Volatility, Interest Rate Markets, With Chris Nicholson

Hedge fund portfolio manager Chris Nicholson joins the podcast to discuss his outlook on volatility, interest rates, and other markets.

Forecasting these assets has become increasingly problematic in recent years, but there are a few things Nicholson looks to in an effort to identify opportunities for arbitrage.

Content:

  • U.S. equity prices are determined largely by two axes (3:40);
  • Inflation expectations have been, well, inflated. This speaks for the relative value of certain bonds (7:03);
  • What drives inflation anyway? (11:38);
  • Where to look in currencies (19:05);
  • Nicholson’s Number One recommendation for investors: take the cheap borrow. Where to put it is the question (21:40);
  • Sometimes being contrarian is not the smart move. This may be one of those times, at least in FX markets (23:38);
  • China and the yuan versus the Japanese yen (29:24);
  • Equity markets in the U.S. and Japan (33:06);
  • The portfolio manager’s concern about a second wave of COVID (35:40);
  • Other issues that could be catalysts in 2020 (40:39);
  • How to trade these views (46:18);

For more information on the guest:

Not intended as investment advice

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Contrarian Calls, Revisited: Chris Stanton’s Prediction for a 20% Drop in the S&P 500

Chris Stanton, chief investment officer at Sunrise Capital, this January said a market correction was long overdue. With risk seemingly everywhere, Stanton predicted a drop of 20% in the S&P 500 by the end of the first quarter, or March 31.

“Rest assured, we’re heading for a correction and I would argue it’s going to be terrifying when it comes,” Stanton said in the Season 2 premier.

The S&P 500 was around 3,300 at the time of Stanton’s statement.

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