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The Contrarian Investor Podcast Posts

Short Ideas Move Stocks at Fourth Virtual Conference

Published October 23, 2020

Four presenters provided exclusive “best idea” short stock picks at the fourth Contrarian Investor Virtual Conference on Oct. 22, 2020. 

An audio recording was made available to premium subscribers. Become one here for just $8/month or $88/year (those prices will increase soon, as of Nov. 1). There are numerous other benefits to premium subscribers that are identified at the link above.

Rob Medd of Bucephalus Research kicked off the proceedings with his short thesis: ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A. (PINK:ACSAF), a Spanish engineering firm. “There are multiple problems in multiple stages of this company,” Medd said. “We think it’s on its way … to a sort of recapitalization/self-liquidation.”

Wes of Glasshouse Research presented the firm’s 10th short campaign and second of the year, targeting Columbia Sportswear (NASDAQ:COLM). The 39-page report, titled “Columbia Sportswear Headed for a Rocky Fall (Under Armour Part Deux)” was subsequently posted on their website.

Columbia Sportswear reported third-quarter earnings after the close on Oct. 29. Earnings, revenue, and sales outlook all fell short of analyst estimates. COLM shares sold off by about 17% in the after hours session.

Watch Wes’ presentation below via our YouTube channel:

  • Siegfried Eggert of Grizzly Research had a short thesis about SPI Energy Co. (NASDAQ:SPI), calling the company an “egregious pump and dump.” The report is available on the firm’s website.
  • Adam Gefvert of White Diamond Research presented eXP Realty (NASDAQ:EXPI), a stock that has risen over 400% since mid-May. The real estate brokerage is “massively overvalued right now,” even after pulling back from its peak, Gefvert said. The presentation can be downloaded here. Or watch it here via our YouTube channel:

The next virtual investing event takes place Dec. 10. Individual tickets will be made available soon but in the meantime the so-called season ticket option is available. Subscribers get access to the next five events for the price of four.

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Season 2, Episode 32: Opportunities May Be Brewing in Cyclical Stocks

Published October 21, 2020

With Christian Putz, ARR Investments

Christian Putz is an Austrian-born hedge fund manager currently based in London. His fund has outperformed benchmarks this year during one of the more unpredictable periods in recent memory.

Behind this success is an understanding and appreciation of the big-picture macro environment. Only when that is taken into account does the fund look at individual stocks.

Right now the macro picture is mostly benign with the U.S. election looming. Many sectors remain strong. There are buying opportunities brewing, especially in the oil and gas industry.

Content

  • The macro picture versus individual stocks and where things stand right now (7:28);
  • Economically, things look rather benign. Buying opportunities may abound in the energy industry especially (13:09);
  • Risks “are more to the upside,” with steepening yield curve. This may bode well for the financial sector (16:05);
  • Recent months have seen a rebound in copper prices. That may be overdone. There is a bear market case to be made post election (18:38);
  • Background on the guest (22:39);
  • The fund’s current portfolio allocation (32:10);
  • The benefits of utilities right now (33:42);

For more information on the guest:

Not intended as investment advice.

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Season 2, Episode 31: James Altucher and Where (Not) to Invest Ahead of the Election — And Beyond

Published October 14, 2020

A wide-ranging conversation with one of the more outspoken contrarians on Wall Street and Main Street.

James Altucher needs to introduction. For several decades he has been an outspoken contrarian on matters ranging from investing to politics, society, entrepreneurialism, and all points in between.

We planned to limit this conversation to investing. That didn’t happen. Instead Altucher spoke on a wide range of issues — including investing — and introduced some items that he hadn’t discussed before publicly.

If you do want to skip to the investing content, it starts at 20:26.

MoreSeason 2, Episode 31: James Altucher and Where (Not) to Invest Ahead of the Election — And Beyond
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