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Tariff Dips Create Buying Opportunities (Szn 7, Epsd 9)podcast episode cover art feat Petra Bakosova

Tariff Dips Create Buying Opportunities (Szn 7, Epsd 9)

Published May 13, 2025

With Petra Bakosova, Hull Tactical

Petra Bakosova of Hull Tactical joins the podcast to discuss her views on the Federal Reserve, labor markets, the impact of tariffs, and what this all means for financial markets.

This podcast episode was recorded on May 8, 2025. An ‘actionable highlights’ reel was published that day for premium subscribers, who also received the full podcast episode the day after recording. Sign up for premium membership packages on our Substack.

Content Highlights

  • The Fed last week expressed concerns about risks in the labor market. There is nothing in any of the data that bears this out yet. However, there are other ways that tariffs have had an effect (3:36);

  • Hull Tactical has been “close to 100% invested” and views this as a good time to be active allocating risk (6:14);

  • Background on the guest (10:28);

  • Philosophy behind Hull Tactical’s investment strategy (12:45);

  • The danger of ‘overfitting’: Data will confess to anything if you torture it long enough. How to guard against it (16:51);

  • Blackjack and how it inspired the strategy (21:31).

More on the Guest

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Trend-Following Strategies for the New World Order (Szn 6, Epsd 7)Podcast episode cover art

Trend-Following Strategies for the New World Order (Szn 6, Epsd 7)

Published April 24, 2024

With Dr. Doug Greenig, Florin Court Capital

Dr. Doug Greenig of Florin Court Capital joins the podcast to discuss his worldview — one where the US is no longer the sole superpower — the situation in the Middle East, US fiscal concerns, artificial intelligence, and trends in commodities.

And of course how this all impacts his trading strategy.

Content Highlights

  • The world has undergone many changes with the US emerging as its lone superpower. That era is over (2:09);
  • China is a legitimate competitor to the US. It’s just having a bad moment due to the property market. But China is not going anywhere as an economic or military power (6:07);
  • The guest’s trend-following model trades 500 assets and seeks to capture medium-term changes. What he looks for to enter and exit trades (16:52);
  • One trend is lower electricity prices in Europe (19:19);
  • Populism and the latter stage of democratic government make for a potentially bearish outlook for US stocks (27:15);
  • Background on the guest (41:04);
  • Iran is still a force in the Middle East and beyond. Discussion of the weekend drone attack on Israel, which may have been an attempt at making a point (48:40);
  • As Russia’s economy illustrates, sanctions are hard to enforce. There may be inherent bias in many pro-Western analysis… (53:03);
  • US fiscal problems are real. The guest says it has “something like five years” before this takes a serious toll. Artificial intelligence may postpone this however (55:45);
  • Hypersonic missiles: One area where Russia and China have an edge over the US (57:45).

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Contrarian Investing Primer With Phil Pecsok, Anacapa Advisors (Szn 5, Epsd 24)Podcast episode cover art: Phil Pecsok

Contrarian Investing Primer With Phil Pecsok, Anacapa Advisors (Szn 5, Epsd 24)

Published September 20, 2023

Phil Pecsok, founder of Anacapa Advisors, joins the podcast to supply a primer on contrarian investing: What it is, what catalysts to look for, and some valuable lessons from his 30-year career on Wall Street.

Content Highlights

  • The guest provides his views of contrarian investing and how he uses it (1:27);
  • Examples of blaring contrarian signals from past cycles (9:00);
  • The Fed is likely to stay hawkish (13:14);
  • The ‘Rule of 3’ in contrarian investing as illustrated in a story from early in the guest’s career (16:37);
  • His views on cryptos (24:13);
  • Background on the guest (30:01);
  • Sports betting is an efficient way to lose money, unless you’re running the book. But sometimes there are sometimes contrarian opportunities (37:46);
  • What keeps the guest up at night? Nothing in particular, though stocks are probably overbought even after the recent sell-off (45:17).

For more on the guest and his firm, visit the website AnacapaAdvisors.com.

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