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Tag: technology

The Coming Credit Crunch and Death of Unicorns: Leo Schmidt (Szn 4, Ep 11)

Leo Schmidt of River Eddy Capital Management rejoins the podcast to discuss the coming credit crunch, its impact on stock market sectors, and where to invest to protect one’s portfolio.

Content Highlights

  • So-called “unicorn” companies, or the darlings of the VC crowd, and others that cannot generate cashflow, will face a tough reckoning (3:17);
  • Undermining this is “a complete change of psychology” in terms of velocity of money (6:27);
  • What if the Fed reverses course? It’s not so simple (8:52);
  • Oil is a short: “Oil is the ultimate liquid commodity” but there is a place for pipeline stocks… (11:38);
  • What stocks can thrive in this type of environment? Look first to medical company spin-offs (19:13);
  • Another area to look: Business development companies, or BDCs. This is a risky part of the market but there is at least one BDC making first-lien loans, which are the safest part of the capital structure… (26:23);
  • Quick epilogue on China’s latest Covid lockdown. There are ways to play the move away from supply chain issues that result (35:58);

Quick Highlights From Our YouTube Channel

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Contrarian Calls, Revisited: Liz Hall’s Bullish Calls on Games Workshop, Nintendo

Liz Hall said she was interested in Games Workshop (GMWKF) and Nintendo (NTDOY), in a September 2020 visit to the podcast.

Hall said she discovered Games Workshop, which manufactures Warhammer figurines and hobby collections, and knew she had to invest “because the people were so passionate.”

She saw similar potential in Nintendo (NTDOY) and purchased the stock at approximately $30 per share.

“I saw Nintendo Switch was coming out and everyone I knew who was into video games was raving about this thing,” she said.

Hall said she goes down “rabbit holes” on YouTube and Reddit learning about topics and cultures that interest her to find investment opportunities.

“I think there’s a lot of [investing opportunities] if you just chill and catch the vibe of what’s going on on the internet.”

What Happened

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Szn 3, Ep. 29: Causes for Optimism in 2022, with Ryan Worch

Ryan Worch of Worch Capital rejoins the podcast to provide his outlook on stocks for 2022. Spoiler alert: He’s bullish. With certain qualifications. Worch mentions specific securities in the latter half of the episode.

Nothing here is intended as investment advice.

Content Highlights

  • Worch’s contrarian call: We’re still in a secular bull market (4:14);
  • Underneath the surface there has been “some very real destruction in the speculative part of the markets.” Why this is happening (6:05);
  • Is there any hopes for the Cathie Wood names, meme stocks, cryptos, and NFTs? (9:25);
  • Many people are bearish. Too many (15:33);
  • How Worch Capital is positioning its portfolio and some favorite names (20:45);
  • A brief discussion about inflation (28:09).
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