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Season 3, Episode 13: The Rise of Retail Investors (Update)

With Gav Blaxberg, WOLF Financial

Updates with second YouTube video, bottom of this page.

Gav Blaxberg of WOLF Financial joins the podcast to discuss his views of the retail investors who have been pushing stocks like GameStop and more recently AMC.

Blaxberg’s research on this phenomenon predates the GameStop brouhaha. He has reasons to believe retail investors have been gaining in power and will be a growing force to reckon with when it comes to major movement, especially among small cap stocks.

Content Highlights:
(Spotify users can click on the timestamp to link to the segment in question)
  • What happened with GameStop was not an anomaly. Expect more where that came from (3:47);
  • The trend did not start with GameStop, but can be traced to the ‘Kodak movement’ (5:07);
  • Institutions still have more capital and control more of public companies’ shares. How are smaller retail investors able to move these stocks? Even small caps? (8:23);
  • The return of retail investors, which hasn’t been seen since the heady days of the dot-com doom, can be traced in large part to commission-free trades (10:37);
  • Quick segue after the guest mentions he gets 9% APR on his blockchain-linked savings account — in USD (14:25);
  • Background on the guest and how he came to start WOLF Financial (20:42);
  • Twitter remains the most actionable social media platform when it comes to moving stocks. Everything else is a distant second. Yes, even Reddit (32:30);
  • So what stocks are popular on social media right now? It’s still growth stocks. Some examples (36:34);
  • What stocks have potential but don’t do enough (or anything on social media) and could boost their popularity with retail investors if they changed this? Some examples (39:34).
More Information on the Guest

Not intended as investment advice.

Video Highlights From Our YouTube Channel

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Contrarian Calls, Revisited: AMC

On a very early episode of this podcast (its fourth, actually), Mark Jones of Pragmatic Capital made the bullish case for AMC’s stock.

At the time of the recording, May 2019, AMC had been in the doldrums for some time over concerns with its debt. It was trading around $15 per share after suffering for years. “I like contrarian situations,” Jones said.

Disappointing numbers at the box office were hurting the stock. But Jones considered this to be a temporary trend as the box office is cyclical in nature. “If you want to understand AMC’s success, you have to understand the dynamics of the box office.”

Citing data from BoxOfficeMojo.com, Jones anticipated better days ahead for the box office. This was partly due to the quantity and quality of movies released by major studios. Both were diminished with Disney (DIS) releasing 50% fewer movies in 2017. With more films slated for release in 2019 and 2020, it stood to reason that box office numbers would improve — and AMC’s stock with it.

His price target for AMC was “in the low $30s.”

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Season 3 ,Episode 8: Archegos Capital and Using Behavioral Finance to Protect Yourself From Yourself

With Gary Mishuris, Silver Ring Value Partners

Gary Mishuris, managing partner and chief investment officer at Boston-based Silver Ring Value Partners, joins the podcast to discuss using behavioral finance to protect against mistakes in one’s own investing process.

The conversation quickly moves to Archegos Capital and whether this is a contained event that can be a buying opportunity — or whether it constitutes systemic risk for the market in general.

Later we discuss financial literacy and how investment managers face a real conflict that prevents them from being true fiduciaries.

Content Highlights
(Spotify users can link to the segment directly by clicking on the timestamp)
  • Behavioral finance: not just to identify investment opportunities (3:42);
  • The first step is admitting you have a problem (5:25);
  • The Devil’s Advocate Club (6:31);
  • Archegos Capital and the blocktrade controversy (14:19);
  • Is the Archegos Capital issue a contained event or something like the Long Term Capital Management crisis? Or perhaps a ‘canary in the coalmine’ type of thing? (21:40);
  • Central banks may not have the market’s back indefinitely and relying on the Fed may be (24:19);
  • Background on the guest (32:51);
  • The conflict preventing fund managers from being true fiduciaries (31:31);
  • The need for fund managers to train their investors (35:20);
  • Financial literacy and educating the broader public about investing (46:54);
  • The name of the fund (Silver Ring) is not a Lord of the Rings reference. The story behind how the fund got its name (50:03)
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