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Tag: stocks

Contrarian Investing Primer With Phil Pecsok, Anacapa Advisors (Szn 5, Epsd 24)

Phil Pecsok, founder of Anacapa Advisors, joins the podcast to supply a primer on contrarian investing: What it is, what catalysts to look for, and some valuable lessons from his 30-year career on Wall Street.

Content Highlights

  • The guest provides his views of contrarian investing and how he uses it (1:27);
  • Examples of blaring contrarian signals from past cycles (9:00);
  • The Fed is likely to stay hawkish (13:14);
  • The ‘Rule of 3’ in contrarian investing as illustrated in a story from early in the guest’s career (16:37);
  • His views on cryptos (24:13);
  • Background on the guest (30:01);
  • Sports betting is an efficient way to lose money, unless you’re running the book. But sometimes there are sometimes contrarian opportunities (37:46);
  • What keeps the guest up at night? Nothing in particular, though stocks are probably overbought even after the recent sell-off (45:17).

For more on the guest and his firm, visit the website AnacapaAdvisors.com.

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Some Disparate ‘Best Ideas’ for the Rest of 2023: Brooker Belcourt (Szn 5, Epsd 21)

This episode was recorded on Aug. 15 and released to premium subscribers that same day. Become a premium subscriber here.

Brooker Belcourt, founder of Covey.io, rejoins the podcast to discuss the three-pronged consensus that the investment platform’s best analysts are picking up right now and the 20 names that have emerged…

(Not investment advice).

Content Highlights

  • What are the best Covey analysts picking up right now? (1:37)
  • The platform’s 20 best positions are split into four buckets: growth winners like Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA), healthcare (three names including biopharma), ‘high-quality’ names like Autozone (AZO) and Disney (DIS), and volatility expressed through the levered ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY) (4:55);
  • What to make of the long volatility bet? (9:40);
  • Equally interesting is the type of exposure that is absent from the best 20: no crypto, no retail stocks, nothing international… (16:04);

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The Economy’s Soft-Landing Will Be Short-Lived: Peter Kraus, Aperture Investors (Szn 5, Ep 20)

This podcast episode was released to premium subscribers the same day it was recorded. Become a premium subscriber by signing up on our Substack or Supercast.

Peter Kraus, founder and CEO of Aperture Investors, joins the podcast to discuss his views on the economy, why he expects the ‘soft landing’ to occur, but why it will quickly give way to renewed concerns.

Content Highlights

  • An economic soft landing is likely, but will be transitional (1:38);
  • The Fed is unlikely to ‘break more stuff’ as this spring’s banking crisis was a short-term liquidity crisis that has since been resolved. But refinancing will be a problem (4:12);
  • Inflation will be more persistent and ‘sticky’ than markets are pricing in right now. This doesn’t leave bonds in a very good position (7:20);
  • When it comes to stocks, expect volatility until late autumn at which point higher interest rates will start to bite (16:17);
  • The consumer, and consumer stocks, will lead the rebound starting as early as December (19:33);
  • Background on the guest (26:06);
  • China’s driver of commodity prices may be over (35:42).

More About Aperture Investors

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