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Season 2, Episode 33: Watch for ‘Blue Wave,’ Followed by Rotation Into Value Stocks

Published November 1, 2020

With Scott Colbert, chief economist, Commerce Trust Company

Scott Colbert, chief economist at Commerce Trust Company in St. Louis, rejoins the Contrarian Investor Podcast to discuss the state of the economy on the eve of the 2020 U.S. presidential election. 

In Colbert’s view, the economic recovery is “square root” shaped, with a quick bounce from the bottom followed by “the lazy L that comes after the easy V-part.” Politically, he anticipates a Biden victory and return of the Senate to democratic control. This will eventually lead to a higher tax rate for corporations, which together with a coronavirus vaccine will cause a rotation into value stocks.

MoreSeason 2, Episode 33: Watch for ‘Blue Wave,’ Followed by Rotation Into Value Stocks
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Season 2, Episode 32: Opportunities May Be Brewing in Cyclical Stocks

Published October 21, 2020

With Christian Putz, ARR Investments

Christian Putz is an Austrian-born hedge fund manager currently based in London. His fund has outperformed benchmarks this year during one of the more unpredictable periods in recent memory.

Behind this success is an understanding and appreciation of the big-picture macro environment. Only when that is taken into account does the fund look at individual stocks.

Right now the macro picture is mostly benign with the U.S. election looming. Many sectors remain strong. There are buying opportunities brewing, especially in the oil and gas industry.

Content

  • The macro picture versus individual stocks and where things stand right now (7:28);
  • Economically, things look rather benign. Buying opportunities may abound in the energy industry especially (13:09);
  • Risks “are more to the upside,” with steepening yield curve. This may bode well for the financial sector (16:05);
  • Recent months have seen a rebound in copper prices. That may be overdone. There is a bear market case to be made post election (18:38);
  • Background on the guest (22:39);
  • The fund’s current portfolio allocation (32:10);
  • The benefits of utilities right now (33:42);

For more information on the guest:

Not intended as investment advice.

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Season 2, Episode 29: Finding Next Generation Growth Stocks, With Liz Hall

Published September 30, 2020

The Fintwit star locates and explores niche subcultures online to spot investment opportunities.

Liz Hall, well known on the Twittersphere as @LizQuidity, joins the podcast to discuss some of her methods for locating the next generation of growth stocks.

Hall doesn’t have an investment process per se. She lets investment ideas find her by exploring niche interest and going down “rabbit holes” on YouTube and Reddit.

Content:

  • How to let the investment idea “come to you” by locating niche areas of interest at their source (2:38);
  • One example from earlier this year: Games Workshop Group (GMWKF), publisher of the Warhammer game (4:34);
  • Some more on her research methods (10:48);
  • What led her to Nintendo (13:16);
  • Background on the guest (17:22);
  • Brief discussion of Tesla (TSLA) and Nikola (NKLA) (23:32).

For more on Hall’s research process, visit her website LizardBrain.Substack.com

Not intended as investment advice.

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