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Tag: recession

Pessimism’s Return, Trump 2.0 Opportunities, With Phil Pecsok, Anacapa Advisors (Szn, 7, Epsd 4)

Phil Pecsok of Anacapa Advisors rejoins the podcast to discuss the return of pessimism to the market and the economic and market repercussions of Trump’s various policies.

This podcast episode was recorded in two segments, the second on Feb. 24 with the express purpose of discussing with the then-nascent sell-off and Nvidia (NVDA) earnings. More information is available here.

This podcast deviates from the usual format by including the guest’s first-hand account of the LA wildfires. This admittedly has only limited relation to investing, but was kept mostly intact for human interest reasons. Listeners can skip past these segments, identified below.

  • Walmart (WMT) earnings ushered in a fresh round of selling in stocks that has yet to reverse (1:05)
  • The concerns raised by Walmart earnings are legitimate, but stocks should still rise this year (5:02);
  • The guest, a resident of the Pacific Palisades, recounts his harrowing experience with the LA fires (11:25);
  • Economic repercussions of the fires (14:32);
  • Trump will ultimately be good for the economy and for markets. Fade any Trump-generated market panic (27:51);
  • Why you shouldn’t buy defense contractor stocks yet (37:18);
  • The outlook for inflation is not great. This will likely keep the Fed from cutting rates (41:52).

For more on the guest and his firm, visit the website AnacapaAdvisors.com.

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Opportunities in Closed-End Municipal Bond Funds (Szn 6, Epsd 21)

With Jonathan Browne, RiverNorth Capital

Jonathan Browne, portfolio manager at RiverNorth Capital, joins the podcast to discuss investment opportunities in municipal bonds, specifically through the closed-end fund structure.

Content Highlights

  • Quick primer on closed-end funds and their difference with mutual funds and ETFs (1:18);
  • Municipal bonds and what to look for there (16:01);
  • What kind of yield can investors expect from this asset class? (23:31);
  • Background on the guest (26:50);
  • Rising interest rates and inflation are certainly a risk for muni bonds, but the risk/reward is set up constructively… (30:59);
  • Muni closed-end funds: a contrarian pick (37:28).

For more on the guest, visit the website RiverNorth.com

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Tariffs, Strong US Dollar, Stocks Rally, M&A: What to Expect From Trump-onomics 2.0 — Should It Happen (Szn 6, Epsd 19)

With Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex

Marc Chapman of Bannockburn Global Forex rejoins the podcast to discuss all things US election and the impact a Trump victory would have on economics and financial markets.

This podcast episode was recorded Monday, Oct. 28, 2024 and was made available for premium subscribers that same day. More information about premium subscriptions is available on our Substack.

Content Highlights

  • The impact of a Trump victory next Tuesday is seen as greater as the impact of a Harris victory. What this means for markets and the economy (2:11);
  • What if Trump doesn’t win? That has become the contrarian take (3:45);
  • How it all might affect Mexico, the US’ largest trading partner (5:40);
  • The US-Canada-Mexico free trade agreement is up for review next year. Expect more concessions from Mexico regardless of who’s in the White House (and Congress) (12:22);
  • However the outlook is not all bad for all Mexican securities… (15:40);
  • Concerns Trump will try to limit the Federal Reserve’s independence (19:38);
  • Don’t overlook the possibility of a recession early in the next president’s term (25:44);
  • Trump victory may lead to more mergers and acquisitions (26:50).

More From the Guest

Transcript

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