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Tag: oil

Season 2, Episode 7: Oil Sell-Off Special Edition

Published March 10, 2020

Inside The Saudi-Russia Supply Standoff, With Kirill Zadov, Political Analyst, RUSA Radio

Kirill Zadov, political analyst at Russian-language radio station RUSA Radio, joins the podcast in this special episode to discuss the recent sell-off in oil prices.

Zadov has some unique insights into the Russian oil economy and the political economy of the Middle East. His prediction: Saudi Arabia and Russia will have to come together to agree to output cuts, and soon. How low will oil go in the interim? Here too Zadov has some views.

Segment time stamps:

  • What’s motivating Russia on their decision to not cut output? (4:02)
  • Why Russia and Saudi Arabia need to cut output, and soon (7:07)
  • What other countries in the region are affected by this? (9:19)
  • How long will it take for Russia and Saudi Arabia to agree to cuts? (10:28)
  • Background on the guest (11:35)
  • How low will oil prices go? (13:26)

For more information on the guest: 

Not intended as investment advice.

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Season 2, Episode 2: Energy Markets at a Turning Point, With Economist Peter Sainsbury

Published January 22, 2020

The history of tobacco companies and lead markets may hold lessons for investors

Economist and energy specialist Peter Sainsbury joins the podcast to discuss his thesis, that the fossil fuel industry faces a dilemma similar to what confounded big tobacco a generation ago.

Oil companies in particular are starting to be seen as “sin stocks” with institutions divesting themselves on ethical grounds. Much like tobacco companies reinvented themselves in the 1990s, energy companies can undergo a similar renaissance. Indeed the process of oil companies divesting harmful assets is already underway. This causes opportunities for investors. But first, expect headwinds.

Content:

  • Peter Sainsbury introduces his thesis (1:59)
  • The impact on energy companies’ share prices (8:16)
  • What about alternate energy? (10:27)
  • Background on the guest (15:58) and other areas of interest, including gold and gold miners (18:15)
  • Palladium may be frothy. One little-known indicator worth tracking (23:16)
  • Potential catalysts for supply-side disruption in energy markets (27:08)

For more information on Peter Sainsbury:

Not intended as investment advice.

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Season 1, Episode 17: The Coming ‘Melt Up’ in Markets, With David Hunter of Contrarian Macro Advisors

Published September 4, 2019

The market cycle has one final upleg, which will be followed by a historic crash

David Hunter, Chief Macro Strategist at Contrarian Macro Advisors, discusses the current state of the economic cycle and why risk assets have a final upleg left before the onset of the bear market. 

Content:
The Federal Reserve is behind the curve of the economy (2:00), the coming bust (5:00), predictions for bond prices (8:15), the final “melt up” and why it will be “parabolic” (12:29), echoes of 1982 (16:50), the 2020 bear market (19:34) and recovery, which will bring the first inflationary cycle since the 1970s (21:21), favorite places to be in terms of investments (26:45), $10 oil (30:00)

Not intended as investment advice.

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