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GlaxoSmithKline stock

The Coming Credit Crunch and Death of Unicorns: Leo Schmidt (Szn 4, Ep 11)

Leo Schmidt of River Eddy Capital Management rejoins the podcast to discuss the coming credit crunch, its impact on stock market sectors, and where to invest to protect one’s portfolio.

Content Highlights

  • So-called “unicorn” companies, or the darlings of the VC crowd, and others that cannot generate cashflow, will face a tough reckoning (3:17);
  • Undermining this is “a complete change of psychology” in terms of velocity of money (6:27);
  • What if the Fed reverses course? It’s not so simple (8:52);
  • Oil is a short: “Oil is the ultimate liquid commodity” but there is a place for pipeline stocks… (11:38);
  • What stocks can thrive in this type of environment? Look first to medical company spin-offs (19:13);
  • Another area to look: Business development companies, or BDCs. This is a risky part of the market but there is at least one BDC making first-lien loans, which are the safest part of the capital structure… (26:23);
  • Quick epilogue on China’s latest Covid lockdown. There are ways to play the move away from supply chain issues that result (35:58);

Quick Highlights From Our YouTube Channel

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Season 1, Episode 19: The Need for Non-Consensus Investing, With Rupal J. Bhansali

Developing contrarian investing ideas is not a luxury, but a necessity in today’s market.

Rupal J. Bhansali joins the podcast to discuss her just-published book “Non-Consensus Investing: Being Right When Everyone Else is Wrong.”

Ms. Bhansali is the chief investment officer, international and global equities, at Ariel Investments in New York. Over the course of the conversation she explains why she wrote the book, some of its most valuable lessons for stock analysts, and why investors should eschew FAANG stocks for a new acronym: MANG (Michelin, Ahold, NTT Docomo, Glaxosmithkline).

Content:
The need for developing non-consensus views (2:20), focusing on balance-sheet risk rather than earnings (3:50), “kicking the can down the road” is not an option (6:27), FAANG vs. MANG (7:27), a special message to young women (12:20)

More information on the book available here.

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