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Tag: Federal Reserve

Prepare for End of US Dollar Cycle, as Emerging Markets Rise (Szn 7, Epsd 2)

With Rohit Goel, Breakout Capital

Rohit Goel of Breakout Capital joins the podcast to discuss his view that the boom in the US dollar (and in US dollar-denominated assets) will soon give way, to be replaced by a long-awaited bullish cycle in emerging markets.

This podcast episode was recorded Friday, Feb. 7 and released to premium subscribers the following business day. There are numerous other benefits to becoming a premium subscriber, which can be read on our Substack.

Content Highlights

  • Markets have grown accustomed to US dollar dominance and with it a surge in US assets, specifically stocks. That is due for a cyclical reversal (1:00);
  • There are three factors supporting US growth. One of them is almost certainly due to run its course (4:43);
  • The global economy revolves around the US consumer as driver of growth. But that too can change — and other markets are better equipped to pick up the slack on their own (9:26);
  • Despite all this, the US dollar should maintain its status as reserve currency. However, its dominance is waning (14:55);
  • Background on the guest (23:28);
  • Big tech stocks have worked very well for over a decade. But things are shifting to eat into their cashflows and there are reasons to believe too much optimism could be priced in… (26:07);
  • The trend is for growth to originate elsewhere than US tech… (30:28);
  • Discussion of frontier markets (35:33).

The guest requests listeners connect through LinkedIn.

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Opportunities in Closed-End Municipal Bond Funds (Szn 6, Epsd 21)

With Jonathan Browne, RiverNorth Capital

Jonathan Browne, portfolio manager at RiverNorth Capital, joins the podcast to discuss investment opportunities in municipal bonds, specifically through the closed-end fund structure.

Content Highlights

  • Quick primer on closed-end funds and their difference with mutual funds and ETFs (1:18);
  • Municipal bonds and what to look for there (16:01);
  • What kind of yield can investors expect from this asset class? (23:31);
  • Background on the guest (26:50);
  • Rising interest rates and inflation are certainly a risk for muni bonds, but the risk/reward is set up constructively… (30:59);
  • Muni closed-end funds: a contrarian pick (37:28).

For more on the guest, visit the website RiverNorth.com

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Tariffs, Strong US Dollar, Stocks Rally, M&A: What to Expect From Trump-onomics 2.0 — Should It Happen (Szn 6, Epsd 19)

With Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex

Marc Chapman of Bannockburn Global Forex rejoins the podcast to discuss all things US election and the impact a Trump victory would have on economics and financial markets.

This podcast episode was recorded Monday, Oct. 28, 2024 and was made available for premium subscribers that same day. More information about premium subscriptions is available on our Substack.

Content Highlights

  • The impact of a Trump victory next Tuesday is seen as greater as the impact of a Harris victory. What this means for markets and the economy (2:11);
  • What if Trump doesn’t win? That has become the contrarian take (3:45);
  • How it all might affect Mexico, the US’ largest trading partner (5:40);
  • The US-Canada-Mexico free trade agreement is up for review next year. Expect more concessions from Mexico regardless of who’s in the White House (and Congress) (12:22);
  • However the outlook is not all bad for all Mexican securities… (15:40);
  • Concerns Trump will try to limit the Federal Reserve’s independence (19:38);
  • Don’t overlook the possibility of a recession early in the next president’s term (25:44);
  • Trump victory may lead to more mergers and acquisitions (26:50).

More From the Guest

Transcript

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