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Season 3, Episode 12: The Real and Present Regulatory Risk Facing Cryptocurrencies (Updated)

Published May 20, 2021

With Jacob Ma-Weaver, Cable Car Capital

Updates with transcript, below. To get the transcript (and podcast) earlier, and take advantage of a host of other benefits, become a premium subscriber.

Jacob Ma-Weaver of Cable Car Capital Management joins the podcast to discuss the regulatory risk facing cryptocurrencies.

This podcast was recorded on May 19, a day bitcoin dropped some 15% after the People’s Bank of China published a report warning over the use of digital currencies. But even before the PBOC move, cryptos were dropping in value. Bitcoin has declined more than 30% from its high set earlier this month.

Ma-Weaver’s interest in cryptocurrencies originates with his work as an activist short-seller. He has held conversations with regulators on cryptocurrency exchanges in particular. That was much of the focus of the conversation.

Not intended as investment advice. Nothing on this episode should be taken as an endorsement for or criticism of cryptocurrencies in any form.

MoreSeason 3, Episode 12: The Real and Present Regulatory Risk Facing Cryptocurrencies (Updated)
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Season 3, Episode 4: Contrarian Stock Picks in Health Care, Tech, Travel

Published February 25, 2021

With Twitter’s Ze Contrarian (@ZeContrarian7)

A few segments of this episode contain adult language. Listener discretion is advised.

“Ze Contrarian,” a well-known and well-followed fintwit investor (Twitter handle: @ZeContrarian7) joins the podcast to discuss his investment philosophy and provide several stock picks for listeners.

MoreSeason 3, Episode 4: Contrarian Stock Picks in Health Care, Tech, Travel
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Season 3, Episode 2: What Will Likely Prick The Everything Bubble, With Chris Stanton, Sunrise Capital

Published January 27, 2021

Chris Stanton of Sunrise Capital rejoins the podcast to discuss his views of what will upend the raging bull market in risk assets.

Content Segments

  • How we got here: the market price action is similar to late summer, 2019 (3:49);
  • However, there are some big differences between then and now, starting with volatility (5:44);
  • What’s awry? Two things should have people’s attention. One is that the retail market has figured out how to achieve leverage. The second is market structure (10:46);
  • Big market makers are being eliminated by the day, including hedge funds (16:59);
  • Where are the investors who have been moving the market? Not in the U.S. (20:38)
  • Believe it or not, U.S. investors do not appear to be “all in” on the bull market yet (24:48);
  • Central banks are setting up everybody’s portfolio to be long. At the same time passive indexing has eroded cash reserves (29:57);
  • The “terrible” setup is in place: Vol is elevated against what it has done historically, the market structure is not set up to provide liquidity when it is needed most, and investors are in increasingly crowded trades (37:57);
  • What ends the bull market? First thing could be a resurfacing of trade tensions with China (45:56);
  • Vaccines could provide a “straight line” out of the coronavirus crisis, removing the need for ultra-loose interest rate policy (49:00);
  • It’s only going to take one sentence in the Fed minutes to spook markets. Watch for the whole thing to be politicized too (50:49);
  • The next correction we see is not going to be 5%. “I will bet you it’s 15…it’s going to scare the living daylights out of you again.” (53:39);
  • Commercial real estate is something else worth watching (57:04);
  • For now watch for the bull market to run until March. If that happens, short opportunities should be abundant (1:00:01);
  • Finally, keep an eye out for a currency crisis to trip up investors (1:02:02).
MoreSeason 3, Episode 2: What Will Likely Prick The Everything Bubble, With Chris Stanton, Sunrise Capital
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