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Tag: commodities

Prepare for End of US Dollar Cycle, as Emerging Markets Rise (Szn 7, Epsd 2)

With Rohit Goel, Breakout Capital

Rohit Goel of Breakout Capital joins the podcast to discuss his view that the boom in the US dollar (and in US dollar-denominated assets) will soon give way, to be replaced by a long-awaited bullish cycle in emerging markets.

This podcast episode was recorded Friday, Feb. 7 and released to premium subscribers the following business day. There are numerous other benefits to becoming a premium subscriber, which can be read on our Substack.

Content Highlights

  • Markets have grown accustomed to US dollar dominance and with it a surge in US assets, specifically stocks. That is due for a cyclical reversal (1:00);
  • There are three factors supporting US growth. One of them is almost certainly due to run its course (4:43);
  • The global economy revolves around the US consumer as driver of growth. But that too can change — and other markets are better equipped to pick up the slack on their own (9:26);
  • Despite all this, the US dollar should maintain its status as reserve currency. However, its dominance is waning (14:55);
  • Background on the guest (23:28);
  • Big tech stocks have worked very well for over a decade. But things are shifting to eat into their cashflows and there are reasons to believe too much optimism could be priced in… (26:07);
  • The trend is for growth to originate elsewhere than US tech… (30:28);
  • Discussion of frontier markets (35:33).

The guest requests listeners connect through LinkedIn.

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The Bull Case for Industrial Commodities, AI, and More (Szn 6, Epsd 17)

Tony Greer of TG Macro joins the podcast to discuss his bullish view on industrial commodities, especially oil, AI, the upcoming presidential election, and more.

Content Highlights

  • Why energy commodities, precious and base metals are all set up to rally (1:31);
  • China’s stimulus package boosted industrial metals. The bounce should not be limited to the short term… (4:57);
  • There are a number of ways to express the ‘long commodities’ trade. ETFs may be the simplest… (8:59)
  • The bullish case for uranium (10:37);
  • Don’t fade the AI story (14:20);
  • The inevitable cryptocurrency discussion (17:04);
  • Background on the guest (22:30);
  • Listener question: What’s the inflection point for a move higher in industrial commodities? (26:10);
  • Election discussion (28:17).

More From the Guest

Not investment advice.

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Gold Prices Set to Move (Even) Higher: Dana Samuelson

Dana Samuelson, president of the American Gold Exchange, joins the Contrarian Investor Podcast to discuss why gold prices are set up to rally further — even after a 20% rise so far this year.

Content Highlights

  • Gold is trading right near all-time highs. Can there really be more room for upside? (1:48);
  • One thing missing from the equation for still higher gold prices is interest rate cuts… (3:36);
  • Another thing missing is fear in the market (5:07);
  • Gold has rallied 20% so far this year. A Fed rate cut will supply another 10%. $3000/oz. gold is in sight… (8:36);
  • What of the argument that there’s no tangible use for gold? (11:20);
  • Why gold coins are preferable to bars (14:30);
  • Background on the guest (19:39);
  • Quarters and dimes vintage 1964 are 90% silver (26:40);
  • View on digital currencies and Bitcoin. There is a place for it… (33:20);
  • How much of one’s portfolio should be earmarked for gold and precious metals? (37:15)

More Information on the Guest

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