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Prepare for End of US Dollar Cycle, as Emerging Markets Rise (Szn 7, Epsd 2)

With Rohit Goel, Breakout Capital

Rohit Goel of Breakout Capital joins the podcast to discuss his view that the boom in the US dollar (and in US dollar-denominated assets) will soon give way, to be replaced by a long-awaited bullish cycle in emerging markets.

This podcast episode was recorded Friday, Feb. 7 and released to premium subscribers the following business day. There are numerous other benefits to becoming a premium subscriber, which can be read on our Substack.

Content Highlights

  • Markets have grown accustomed to US dollar dominance and with it a surge in US assets, specifically stocks. That is due for a cyclical reversal (1:00);
  • There are three factors supporting US growth. One of them is almost certainly due to run its course (4:43);
  • The global economy revolves around the US consumer as driver of growth. But that too can change — and other markets are better equipped to pick up the slack on their own (9:26);
  • Despite all this, the US dollar should maintain its status as reserve currency. However, its dominance is waning (14:55);
  • Background on the guest (23:28);
  • Big tech stocks have worked very well for over a decade. But things are shifting to eat into their cashflows and there are reasons to believe too much optimism could be priced in… (26:07);
  • The trend is for growth to originate elsewhere than US tech… (30:28);
  • Discussion of frontier markets (35:33).

The guest requests listeners connect through LinkedIn.

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The Looming Iceberg Ahead of the US Economy (Szn 7, Epsd 1)

Les Rubin, Main Street Economics

Les Rubin of Main Street Economics joins the podcast to discuss his chief concern facing not just markets and economies, but the world at large: US sovereign debt.

This podcast episode was recorded on Wednesday, Jan. 22, 2025 and released to premium subscribers the same day. Information on premium subscriptions, including the vast benefits, are available on our Substack.

Content Highlights

  • The US economy is headed to ‘serious problems’ and the guest’s mission is to educate people to the gravity of the situation (1:47);
  • Debt and fiscal deficits are nothing for the US. But its debt/GDP ratios is reaching a breaking point (2:57);
  • How soon might the breaking point arrive? (5:30);
  • Is there anything from the new Trump administration that might turn the tide? Elon Musk’s DOGE program has promise… (11:02);
  • What about tariffs? (16:22);
  • Background on the guest (20:36);
  • The need for more education: not just financial literacy, but economics (23:55).

More Information on the Guest

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Natural Gas as the Energy of the Future: Applications and Investment Opportunities (Szn 6, Epsd 22)

With Farid Guindo

Farid Guindo of Drill Capital Management joins the podcast to discuss his bullish views on natural gas — not the commodity itself, necessarily, but its application to meet future energy demand.

This podcast episode was made available to premium subscribers the day after recording and without ads or announcements. To become a premium subscriber, visit our Substack.

Content Highlights

  • Natural gas as the energy of the future even as prices of the commodity itself plummet (1:08);
  • Oil exploration is becoming increasingly difficult, expensive, and risky (2:58);
  • The ‘John D. Rockefeller moment’ for natural gas (5:46);
  • What role can nuclear energy play? (16:03);
  • In natural gas, there will be winners and losers, however… (18:00);
  • Where are the best opportunities? (19:51);
  • Background on the guest (28:39);
  • How will the new presidential administration (Trump 2.0) impact things? (41:38).
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