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Month: February 2025

Prepare for End of US Dollar Cycle, as Emerging Markets Rise (Szn 7, Epsd 2)

With Rohit Goel, Breakout Capital

Rohit Goel of Breakout Capital joins the podcast to discuss his view that the boom in the US dollar (and in US dollar-denominated assets) will soon give way, to be replaced by a long-awaited bullish cycle in emerging markets.

This podcast episode was recorded Friday, Feb. 7 and released to premium subscribers the following business day. There are numerous other benefits to becoming a premium subscriber, which can be read on our Substack.

Content Highlights

  • Markets have grown accustomed to US dollar dominance and with it a surge in US assets, specifically stocks. That is due for a cyclical reversal (1:00);
  • There are three factors supporting US growth. One of them is almost certainly due to run its course (4:43);
  • The global economy revolves around the US consumer as driver of growth. But that too can change — and other markets are better equipped to pick up the slack on their own (9:26);
  • Despite all this, the US dollar should maintain its status as reserve currency. However, its dominance is waning (14:55);
  • Background on the guest (23:28);
  • Big tech stocks have worked very well for over a decade. But things are shifting to eat into their cashflows and there are reasons to believe too much optimism could be priced in… (26:07);
  • The trend is for growth to originate elsewhere than US tech… (30:28);
  • Discussion of frontier markets (35:33).

The guest requests listeners connect through LinkedIn.

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