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Month: July 2020

Season 2, Episode 23: The COVID Disconnect And The Coming ‘Melt Up’ In Markets

Published July 28, 2020

With Enrique Abeyta, Empire Financial Research

The evolution of media has led to a “disconnect” between the reality of coronavirus and public perception of the pandemic, according to Enrique Abeyta of Empire Financial Research.

“We are on the precipice of COVID almost being over, or functionally as a major impact on society, mortality, etc.,” says Abeyta. This, along with unprecedented liquidity injections by the Federal Reserve, will lead to a melt-up in global financial markets.

Highlights:

  • The disconnect in popular political and economic analysis and the actual situation with COVID in the U.S. (4:38);
  • Look at the numbers in aggregate; they are clearly declining (8:52);
  • The war on COVID is almost over and the coronavirus could effectively be over “in six weeks” (12:52);
  • What does all this mean for investors? Look at gyms and movie theaters (16:07);
  • A simple options strategy to play the coming melt-up that looks a lot like 1999 (18:07);
  • Three contrarian views and why the coming melt-up will be the best investing and trading environment in a generation (24:48);
  • Background on the guest (27:33);
  • How do you get your ideas? (39:28);
  • The “V-word” and why it doesn’t matter and doesn’t work (41:10);
  • The case for Match.com (42:48);
  • “Shorting sucks” (45:04);
  • Asset management is a religion (49:21);
  • Short discussion of risks (51:12).

More Information on the Guest

Not intended as investment advice.

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Season 2, Episode 19, Transcribed: Picking Spots in Interest Rate, Volatility Markets With Chris Nicholson

Published July 19, 2020

Moderator 0:02
Welcome to the Contrarian Investor Podcast. We give voice to those who challenge a prevailing sentiment in global financial markets. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Nothing on this podcast should be taken as investment advice. Guests were not compensated for their appearance, nor do they supply payment in order to appear. Individuals on this podcast may hold positions in the securities that are discussed. Listeners are urged to educate themselves and make their own decisions. Now, here’s your host, Mr. Nathaniel E. Baker.

Nathaniel E. Baker 0:36
Chris Nicholson, independent Portfolio Manager. based here in New York, you have a long career most recently at the hedge fund Iron Harbor Capital. And you have a pretty broad cross disciplinary look at assets and geographies. You did a stint in China I know, which I think is valuable now in the present day, considering all the volatility that we’ve seen, and everything that’s happened just from from the COVID crisis alone, but there are other broad forces at work. So maybe we could just start and just for you to get your, to get your views on the market on economies, and how you see things.

MoreSeason 2, Episode 19, Transcribed: Picking Spots in Interest Rate, Volatility Markets With Chris Nicholson
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Season 2, Episode 22: Time to Build a Position in Semiconductor Manufacturers?

Published July 14, 2020

With Siddharth Singhai, Ironhold Capital

Siddharth Singhai of Ironhold Capital joins the podcast to discuss his views of semiconductor manufacturers and auto parts suppliers. He also shares his bullish views on industry sectors in his native India.

Content Segments:

  • Singhai’s look at the macro situation with COVID (3:27);
  • The cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry (5:59);
  • Long-term prospects are “fantastic,” and the macroeconomic environment should allow for the opportunity to build positions (8:06);
  • Electrical cars will provide a tailwind to auto manufacturers (10:40);
  • Background on the guest (13:52);
  • The most profitable industry in India (17:19);
  • Favorite ideas in semiconductor suppliers (27:04);
  • Favorite ideas in automotive suppliers (32:14).

More Information on the Guest:

  • Ironhold Capital is a value-based hedge fund in New York focused on leveraging both the Indian and U.S. markets. Its priority is to preserve capital, which is accomplished by buying high quality businesses with no leverage for cheap, followed by layers of risk management.
  • Website: IronholdCapital.com
  • YouTube Channel: Leaders in Business and Investing
  • Podcast: via Spotify and Apple Podcasts

Not intended as investment advice.

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