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Contrarian Calls, Revisited: AMC

Published June 2, 2021

On a very early episode of this podcast (its fourth, actually), Mark Jones of Pragmatic Capital made the bullish case for AMC’s stock.

At the time of the recording, May 2019, AMC had been in the doldrums for some time over concerns with its debt. It was trading around $15 per share after suffering for years. “I like contrarian situations,” Jones said.

Disappointing numbers at the box office were hurting the stock. But Jones considered this to be a temporary trend as the box office is cyclical in nature. “If you want to understand AMC’s success, you have to understand the dynamics of the box office.”

Citing data from BoxOfficeMojo.com, Jones anticipated better days ahead for the box office. This was partly due to the quantity and quality of movies released by major studios. Both were diminished with Disney (DIS) releasing 50% fewer movies in 2017. With more films slated for release in 2019 and 2020, it stood to reason that box office numbers would improve — and AMC’s stock with it.

His price target for AMC was “in the low $30s.”

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Season 3, Episode 12: The Real and Present Regulatory Risk Facing Cryptocurrencies (Updated)

Published May 20, 2021

With Jacob Ma-Weaver, Cable Car Capital

Updates with transcript, below. To get the transcript (and podcast) earlier, and take advantage of a host of other benefits, become a premium subscriber.

Jacob Ma-Weaver of Cable Car Capital Management joins the podcast to discuss the regulatory risk facing cryptocurrencies.

This podcast was recorded on May 19, a day bitcoin dropped some 15% after the People’s Bank of China published a report warning over the use of digital currencies. But even before the PBOC move, cryptos were dropping in value. Bitcoin has declined more than 30% from its high set earlier this month.

Ma-Weaver’s interest in cryptocurrencies originates with his work as an activist short-seller. He has held conversations with regulators on cryptocurrency exchanges in particular. That was much of the focus of the conversation.

Not intended as investment advice. Nothing on this episode should be taken as an endorsement for or criticism of cryptocurrencies in any form.

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Season 3, Episode 11: Distressed Investing for Retail Investors

Published May 12, 2021

With Chris Krug, Chatham Harbor Capital

Chris Krug of Chatham Harbor Capital Management joins the podcast to discuss his hedge fund’s strategy of buying equity of distressed companies.

Krug has a unique background and a unique approach, targeting the equity of companies that are heavily indebted but face a transformation. He shares his insights with listeners with the understanding that nothing is to be considered investment advice.

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